Saturday , January 16 2021

Investors join risk because fear disappears

Poverty investors have expired from late hibernation in 2018. Cash reverts to the most dangerous corners of the market.

"The market survives great in December," said David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Funds. "The most falling things were those who are likely to increase the biggest".

Of course, the rally breathe for crude oil, which has crashed last year's bear market. The US oil prices increase by 22% to date in 2019.
Ditto am GE (TheGE), which increased by 56% last year. GE rises 34% to date in 2019. This would be the best stock in the Dow – if it had not started out last summer. Other great successors like 2018 Zions Bank (TheZBK), The Coty (TheCOTY) a General Mills (TheGIS) All of them are double digits this year.
The junk bond market ends in December. Immediately zero high US bonds that are published for the first time since the financial crisis. Junk bond sales continue slowly, but the market has stabilized. ETF bond basg, including the ETF Corporate Bond High Product iShares iBoxx (TheHYG), has always retired to high places.

Green light of Fed

"Fear of a credit event" in December "caused a Fed capitulation," said Michael Hartnett, chief investment strategist at the Merrill Lynch Bank of America, to clients on Friday. "He worked."

The fast turnover of the hawkish to a remarkable swirl has been a green light for investors. The trade is back at risk, at least now.

"We've seen quite a dramatic change in the Federal forecasts for financial policy in the past two months," said Kelly.

Suddenly, the Dow and S & P 500 are trading on an eight-week scale. Both have recovered more than half their losses.

But some think Wall Street's euphoria over the fault is misused.

"People have to ask themselves: Why does the Fed weigh?" says Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at Bleakley Group Advisory. "Not because they meet their goals. The reason is that the data and markets have been scared."

If the Fears of the Fed bear fruit, then the serious offense could be a serious slowdown. That would be bad for stocks. If the Fed is too cautious, it may have to raise interest rates accidentally to catch up to inflation.

"Either scenario, I think there is so much more pressure on equity," said Boockvar.

JPMorgan's Kelly does not buy the recession talk. He referred to the Dofus Fed and a small sign of bubbles in the economy.

"People do not pay enough attention to the possibility that this expansion could last for a long time," he said.

2. Tynged Sears: This week could decide if Sears survives. The US Bankruptcy Court judge will hold a hearing beginning on Monday for the Sears scheme to sell his assets to his chairman, Eddie Lampert, who wants a 133 year-old company in business.

The hearing is likely to be developing over the week. Sears is hoping to have a decision that approves the sales by Friday.

3. Media gains: Both Disney (TheDIS) a 21st Century Fox (TheFOXA) report earnings this week. Disney is on track to complete its purchase of most Fox before June, the company said recently filed the government. Disney is also preparing this year for the launch of its new streaming service, which is expected to talk more about it in an investor's day in April.
Meanwhile, Fox is preparing for his own recovery as a smaller, smaller media company. The New York Times (TheNYT) a News Corp. (TheNWS), who owns Wall Street Journal and other publications, also reports the results this week.

4. GooGlow does not slow down: In the last three months of 2018, Google Congress was scrutinized by the Congress for data privacy, its worldwide employees over sex harassment scandals, and revealed a security bug that affected the forgotten social network, Google Plus .

But that does not seem to slow down Google's business. The Alphabet (TheGOOGL), Google's parent company, publishes a sales growth of 20% year on year when it reports on the results of quarterly quarterly holiday earnings results Monday, which has been triggered by the continued strength of its advertising sales business.

5. General Motors report earnings: General Motors will report on Wednesday's financial results. This is the company's first quarterly report since it announced plans to cut 8,000 paid staff and raise five plants in North America.

Analysts predict lower earnings for the quarter and year. But the cuts do not respond to financial distress. Instead, GM says he wants to trim costs and release money so he can invest in electric vehicles and self-drive. Analysts will look for more details about their investment plans when the results are released.

6. Coming this week:

Monday – – Alphabet a Ryanair (TheRYAAY) reporting earnings; China's mainland markets are closed through the week
Tuesday – State Address; Disney, 21st Century Fox, Snap (TheSNAP) a Electronic Arts (TheEA) reporting earnings
Wednesday – GM (TheGM), The Chipotle (TheCMG), The Toyota (TheTM), The Humane (TheHUM), The Eli Lilly (TheLLY)The New York Times a Spotify (TheSPOT) reporting earnings; the Cayman Alternative Investment Summit starts
Thursday – Twitter (TheTWTR), The Yum! Brands (TheYUM), The Kellogg (TheK), The Philip Morris International (ThePM), The MetLife (TheMET), The Mattel (TheMAT), The T-Mobile (TheTMUS), The News Corp. (TheNWS) a Dunkin Brands (TheDNKN) reporting earnings
Friday – Hasbro (TheYou are), The Phillips 66 (ThePSX) reporting earnings

CNN Business Seth Fiegerman and Chris Isidore contributed to this report.

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