The leader of the New Democratic Party in the center of the left in Canada is facing a key by-election on Monday who will decide whether or not he can challenge Justin Trudeau in October.
Jagmeet Singh, the first white leader of a politically important party in the history of the country, must win the attraction in Burnaby, a city east of Vancouver, to get a seat in the parliament and be in a position to fight against the PM general election this year.
Although parties often refuse to challenge a leader seeking a seat, the Liberals, the Conservatives and the new People's Party are running candidates at Burnaby South.
Singh, the former human rights solicitor lawyer-politician, his party – and the country – when he embodied the leadership race with a decisive first vote earning more than one and a half years ago. Its rapid increase in federal politics has expressed voters across the country.
"His leadership can be seen as a revival. People saw him like this telegenic, eco-friendly man, who could compete at the famous level with Trudeau," said Lori Turnbull, director of the school of the public administration of Dalhousie University.
But since his leadership earned towards the end of 2017, he and his leading party have fallen. Sitting senators resigned; others have indicated that they will not try re-election. In order to make things worse, the plurality of the seats currently hosted in NDP in Quebec, is a state where support for the party has plummeted.
"It's going to get rid of it completely in Quebec," said Nelson Wiseman, a political science professor at the University of Toronto. The current situation is a great deal of the success of the "captain orange" of the Quebec party under the old leader Jack Layton. Even as late as summer 2015, the multiple multiple surveys of the NDP were about to win their first federal election, just to have their dreams being squeezed by a late surge by Justin Trudeau Liberal party. The NDP is currently sitting third in the national poll.
With fugitive party veterans, worn finance and weak polling numbers, the rookie leader gets the hard task of rescuing and reconfigurating the left-wing party, ensuring a machine that is # 39 ; ready to fight for the country's election later this year.
Some of Singh's challenges can be attributed to the absence of the House of Commons: despite leading the party, he still remains a seat.
"As he does not have a seat, he has not really had a chance to show his message. He is not in the house with the rest of the [leaders], "Turnbull said. Although a tour across the country seems to be a good idea, he said, Singh can not be seen as trading barbeys with other party leaders.
Some feel that Singh's status as a white leader of a large political party has also provoked an unfair criticism of tenure. Although new political leaders in Canada have "put through the wringer", Singh's treatment has been scandalous, said Rick Smith, executive director of the productive Broadbent Institute and former NDP staff.
"What's not almost the focus that it deserves in the media is the cut of racist nonsense that is thrown out on a daily basis," he said.
At the same time, the problems that only hit the party in Singh.
"The NDP has always had some existential crisis, maybe even more than other parties. At some point, a party must decide whether the goal is to win an election? "Said Turnbull. "Or does it set principles and be true of those principles, even if they are not politically popular sometimes?"
The party's broader weakness also raises questions about the ambitions of the party in the left-wing politics of Canada. Considered long as the "conscience" of the country's political system, the party must increase the Liberation competition on its right – and the Green Party on its left.
But Smith is not convinced that the party's prospects are serious.
"Over my life for adults, the NDP has increased stronger everywhere across the country," he said, calling him a "much more sophisticated political machine" than he was even a decade back.
He sees Singh an experienced and charismatic leader – emphasizing his ability to drive a high number of people in key races – and to be able to turn regions, such as the suburbs of Toronto, to the NDP. In the case of Smith, there is little emphasis on the forthcoming by-election: "He was always going to win at Burnaby … This is a very warm, beautiful, attractive and informed. "
Monday's political test will exist for Singh: as it canvass neighborhoods, party members have said that Singh's continuing leadership is unlikely if it does not win.